Climate Models, Climate Projections, and Uncertainty: A Primer for Southeast Alaska

Type
Literature
Publication
Little, Jeremy S., 2016, Climate Models, Climate Projections, and Uncertainty: A Primer for Southeast Alaska. Alaska Climate Science Center and US Geological Survey.
Year Published
2016
Organization
Alaska Climate Science Center, USGS
Description

The future climate of a place is a product of the natural seasonal and annual climate, the natural climatic variability from year to year and decade to decade, and the factors that force changes in the long-term climate trends. Developing scenarios of plausible future climate at regional to local scales requires the use of global climate models (GCMs) because the processes that drive local climate range in scale from planetary to local.” This primer provides a crash course in the scope and necessity of climate models in Southeast Alaska, while presenting the limitations and uncertainties that come with the current modeling system.

Geography